Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 0.001631 0.001802 0.001973 0.002155 0.002344 0.002534 0.002738
2025-09-28 0.001434 0.001690 0.001950 0.002234 0.002533 0.002838 0.003171
2025-10-05 0.001240 0.001558 0.001891 0.002260 0.002656 0.003064 0.003515
2025-10-12 0.001079 0.001449 0.001844 0.002289 0.002773 0.003278 0.003841
2025-10-19 0.000918 0.001326 0.001772 0.002284 0.002846 0.003440 0.004107
2025-10-26 0.000777 0.001213 0.001701 0.002272 0.002908 0.003584 0.004349
2025-11-02 0.000651 0.001108 0.001633 0.002257 0.002959 0.003713 0.004572
2025-11-09 0.000547 0.001020 0.001578 0.002251 0.003017 0.003845 0.004793
2025-11-16 0.000461 0.000946 0.001533 0.002253 0.003080 0.003980 0.005016
2025-11-23 0.000386 0.000879 0.001493 0.002256 0.003142 0.004111 0.005232
2025-11-30 0.000351 0.000862 0.001512 0.002327 0.003278 0.004323 0.005535
2025-12-07 0.000287 0.000800 0.001471 0.002323 0.003327 0.004436 0.005726
2025-12-14 0.000232 0.000756 0.001466 0.002384 0.003473 0.004684 0.006099
2025-12-21 0.000182 0.000714 0.001464 0.002448 0.003626 0.004941 0.006484
2025-12-28 0.000124 0.000647 0.001424 0.002464 0.003722 0.005135 0.006801
2026-01-04 0.000078 0.000588 0.001391 0.002486 0.003824 0.005336 0.007124
2026-01-11 0.000036 0.000516 0.001334 0.002476 0.003885 0.005488 0.007392
2026-01-18 0.000008 0.000447 0.001277 0.002461 0.003939 0.005630 0.007647
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000384 0.001220 0.002443 0.003987 0.005764 0.007891
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000330 0.001173 0.002435 0.004044 0.005907 0.008144
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000285 0.001134 0.002436 0.004111 0.006059 0.008405
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000245 0.001099 0.002440 0.004179 0.006211 0.008665
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000235 0.001115 0.002512 0.004332 0.006461 0.009037